The Biden administration’s census projections for how many immigrants are living in the U.S. are already “obsolete” due to the massive influx of illegal immigrants crossing the southern border, a new report has found.

The total immigrant population — both legal and illegal — currently sits at a record high of 51.4 million, or 15.5% of the population, as of February, according to the report from the Center for Immigration Studies, which analyzed the Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey.

This is an increase of 6.4 million since President Biden took office, the report says.

More than half of that increase is likely due to illegal immigration, although legal immigrants still make up about three-fourths of the total foreign-born population, the report notes.

Back in November, the Census Bureau predicted that the foreign-born share of the population would not reach 15.5% until 2039.

“The scale of immigration is so high that it appears to have made the Census Bureau population projections, published in November of last year, obsolete,” the report says.

Most of the increase is due to immigration from Latin America, which has jumped 4.2 million since Biden took office, according to the report. Immigration from the Indian subcontinent has also spiked 819,000, and immigration from the Middle East is up 654,000.

About 172,000 foreign-born people currently enter the country each month, about four times the monthly increase under the Trump administration.


Meanwhile, the education level of new migrants has declined, due in part to the influx of illegal migrants. About 44% of adults who arrived in the last two years have no education beyond high school, up from 29% in 2018.

Also, the number of immigrant workers is climbing, while the number of American-born workers is dropping. A total of 31 million immigrant workers, more than three million more than in February, 2020, now make up a record 19% of all workers.

Since 1970, the foreign-born share of the population has tripled. It has risen 40% since just 2000.

“The enormous scale of immigration over the past three years has implications for nearly every aspect of American society, including public coffers, the labor market, schools, hospitals, and the balance of political power, to say nothing of whether we can assimilate this many people,” the report says.

The crisis at the southern border has resulted in tens of thousands of migrants descending on major cities like New York City, Chicago, Denver, Philadelphia, and Los Angeles.

New York City has seen more than 183,000 migrants show up since the spring of 2022. Chicago has seen more than 37,000 migrants. Both cities have spent tens of millions of dollars on food, shelter, and other migrant-related costs.

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